First Tee Parlays.
A good round starts with a good read. Model-backed matchup picks, ready for the opening tee shot.
Make the Cut & Top 20: 3, 6, 9 or 12 golfers. Top 10: 3 or 6 golfers. Every pick must offer a positive model edge at a verified market price.
How these cards are built
Current-round 2-ball and 3-ball model favorites, ranked by the same matchup rating as the optimizer with its default 5-point model-edge minimum. One selection per matchup and golfer. Started groups and undated tee times are excluded.
Top Underdogs also require a matched current-round market price of +150 or longer and a positive edge against that price. AM and PM follow the optimizer’s tee-time clock, with noon starting the afternoon wave. Cards use the standard model weights and live ratings when the feed marks the event live.
Fair parlay odds multiply model win estimates and assume independent legs; they are not a sportsbook quote. Prices shown per golfer are market prices when available. Cards and verified GamblyBot links are saved for the round and prepared in the background. A fresh round, tee-time, and category check runs before opening a saved ticket.
How Week Long cards are built
We compare each golfer’s placement probability from our ratings model with the implied probability of a verified tournament price. Picks must have a positive model edge. We rank by model probability advantage over implied odds; expected return and model rating break ties. Each card uses one pick per golfer.
Make the Cut and Top 20 use the same 3, 6, 9 and 12-leg options as the round cards. Top 10 stops at six golfers. A card waits when too few qualifying golfers are available. Week Long cards close when the tournament begins; no-cut events do not offer a Make the Cut card.
Edge is the difference between our estimated probability and the price’s implied probability. EV = model probability × decimal odds − 1: the estimated return per unit staked before any dead-heat adjustment. Prices may come from different sportsbooks. Placement outcomes share a tournament field, so we show no combined model payout. GamblyBot must match the entire card; the sportsbook confirms availability, final prices and payout.
Final prices, ties, and dead-heat settlement follow the sportsbook’s rules.