Friday, November 13, 2026 brings 10 saved Nations League forecasts, with 5,000 pre-match simulations for each game. Start with the results at a glance, then open each SIM sheet for the detail.
Win and draw probabilities, average goals, and score frequencies summarize all 5,000 runs for each match. Team-only sheets contain match forecasts, without player predictions or a selected replay. Selected full SIM sheets illustrate one naturally sampled scenario; that score is not a guaranteed result. Model snapshots through Nov 13, 8:58 AM ET.
The results at a glance
| Match | Kickoff | Home win | Draw | Away win | Average goals Home–away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova vs Kazakhstan | 12:00 PM ET | 33.5% | 24.6% | 41.8% | 1.33–1.51 |
| Netherlands vs Greece | 2:45 PM ET | 55.4% | 23.4% | 21.2% | 1.81–1.04 |
| Serbia vs Germany | 2:45 PM ET | 14.4% | 21.5% | 64.2% | 0.76–1.88 |
| Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan | 2:45 PM ET | 11.2% | 21.5% | 67.3% | 0.59–1.80 |
| Bulgaria vs Iceland | 2:45 PM ET | 25.5% | 23.6% | 50.9% | 1.11–1.66 |
| Luxembourg vs Estonia | 2:45 PM ET | 43.2% | 28.9% | 27.9% | 1.24–0.93 |
| Slovakia vs Faroe Islands | 2:45 PM ET | 71.9% | 18.1% | 10.1% | 2.06–0.61 |
| Scotland vs North Macedonia | 2:45 PM ET | 72.0% | 19.2% | 8.9% | 2.05–0.58 |
| Slovenia vs Switzerland | 2:45 PM ET | 23.7% | 26.5% | 49.8% | 0.95–1.48 |
| Andorra vs Gibraltar | 2:45 PM ET | 44.2% | 29.4% | 26.4% | 1.27–0.92 |
Moldova vs Kazakhstan
UEFA Nations League · 12:00 PM ET · Team forecast
Moldova wins 33.5% of the simulated matches, the draw accounts for 24.6%, and Kazakhstan wins 41.8%. Average sim goals are 1.33–1.51; the most common score is 1–1 (11.42%).
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Netherlands vs Greece
UEFA Nations League · 2:45 PM ET · Full SIM sheet
Netherlands wins 55.4% of the simulated matches, the draw accounts for 23.4%, and Greece wins 21.2%. Average sim goals are 1.81–1.04; the most common score is 1–1 (11.44%).
Projected XI · unconfirmed. Player minutes are experimental: without a supported substitute, a starter remains on for the rest of the simulated match.
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Serbia vs Germany
UEFA Nations League · 2:45 PM ET · Full SIM sheet
Serbia wins 14.4% of the simulated matches, the draw accounts for 21.5%, and Germany wins 64.2%. Average sim goals are 0.76–1.88; the most common score is 0–2 (13.08%).
Projected XI · unconfirmed. Player minutes are experimental: without a supported substitute, a starter remains on for the rest of the simulated match.
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Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan
UEFA Nations League · 2:45 PM ET · Team forecast
Liechtenstein wins 11.2% of the simulated matches, the draw accounts for 21.5%, and Azerbaijan wins 67.3%. Average sim goals are 0.59–1.80; the most common score is 0–1 (16.48%).
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Bulgaria vs Iceland
UEFA Nations League · 2:45 PM ET · Team forecast
Bulgaria wins 25.5% of the simulated matches, the draw accounts for 23.6%, and Iceland wins 50.9%. Average sim goals are 1.11–1.66; the most common score is 0–1 (10.56%).
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Luxembourg vs Estonia
UEFA Nations League · 2:45 PM ET · Team forecast
Luxembourg wins 43.2% of the simulated matches, the draw accounts for 28.9%, and Estonia wins 27.9%. Average sim goals are 1.24–0.93; the most common score is 1–0 (14.52%).
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Slovakia vs Faroe Islands
UEFA Nations League · 2:45 PM ET · Team forecast
Slovakia wins 71.9% of the simulated matches, the draw accounts for 18.1%, and Faroe Islands wins 10.1%. Average sim goals are 2.06–0.61; the most common score is 2–0 (15.14%).
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Scotland vs North Macedonia
UEFA Nations League · 2:45 PM ET · Team forecast
Scotland wins 72.0% of the simulated matches, the draw accounts for 19.2%, and North Macedonia wins 8.9%. Average sim goals are 2.05–0.58; the most common score is 1–0 (15.16%).
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Slovenia vs Switzerland
UEFA Nations League · 2:45 PM ET · Team forecast
Slovenia wins 23.7% of the simulated matches, the draw accounts for 26.5%, and Switzerland wins 49.8%. Average sim goals are 0.95–1.48; the most common score is 0–1 (13.08%).
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Andorra vs Gibraltar
UEFA Nations League · 2:45 PM ET · Team forecast
Andorra wins 44.2% of the simulated matches, the draw accounts for 29.4%, and Gibraltar wins 26.4%. Average sim goals are 1.27–0.92; the most common score is 1–0 (13.76%).
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Reading the simulations
These are model estimates from saved pre-match inputs, not guarantees. Average sim goals are modeled regulation goals, not observed shot xG. The model has no validated adjustment for starting-XI strength. Match pages provide more detail behind each forecast.