Roz’s Rundown: Wyndham Championship Preview
Before we get into this week's Rundown, a quick update.
Moving forward, Roz's Rundown is transitioning over to Rozalytics. Unfortunately, X now requires creators to pay to publish long-form articles, which seems a little backwards to me. Rather than limit what I can share, I'm moving the full breakdowns to a platform where I can go much deeper into the data, trends and research each week.
That doesn't mean the free content is going anywhere. I'll still be posting plenty of free picks, analysis and insights on X like I always have. But I'll be honest—I put a lot of time into researching these tournaments and building the tools that power the analysis. I think that deeper level of research has real value, and it's something I'm comfortable making part of a premium membership while still keeping plenty of great content free for everyone.
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Now, on to the tourney,
This is the last chance for players to make a move, secure their jobs for next season, qualify for the FedEx Cup Playoffs and, in some cases, completely change the trajectory of their careers. There is always a little extra pressure in the field this week because so much is on the line.
We’re back at Sedgefield Country Club, a classic Donald Ross design that does not necessarily lend itself to one specific style of golfer. It’s not an overly long golf course, and power has never been the deciding factor here.
We’ve seen a pure iron player like Henrik Stenson perform incredibly well, along with golfers such as Si Woo Kim and Tom Kim. Positioning, approach play and overall control tend to matter more than simply overpowering the course. You’ll see that reflected throughout my card this week.
Hideki Matsuyama — 22.5/1
We’re going to start near the top of the odds board with Hideki Matsuyama, who is streaking coming into the week.
When we go to the Trend Spotter section of the model, Matsuyama ranks No. 1 this week, and it’s easy to see why.
In 13 of his last 20 rounds, he has gained more than 1.5 strokes against the field. He has also recorded two consecutive starts gaining more than two strokes tee-to-green.
Everything is moving in the right direction for Matsuyama heading into the playoffs. A win at the Wyndham would essentially secure his place deep into the postseason and give him a little more breathing room once the playoffs begin.
Blades Brown
The next golfer I want to talk about is someone who continues to perform for us.
He may not have picked up the win yet, but he has consistently produced top-20 finishes when we’ve backed him. Until that trend changes, I’m happy to continue riding it.
Blades Brown also fits what I’m looking for at this golf course. He does not rely on extreme power, even as an 18-year-old. He has a well-rounded game, strong iron play and enough control throughout the bag to succeed at Sedgefield.
Brown has now gained strokes total in six consecutive PGA TOUR starts. Over his last five starts, he has averaged approximately 1.7 strokes gained total against the field.
Those are excellent numbers, the consistency continues to show up and we like him quite a bit again this week.
Davis Thompson
The next guy we’re going back to is Davis Thompson.
He was a really solid play for us last week, giving us a good return with a T10 finish, and his game continues to move in the right direction.
Thompson has now gained strokes total in four consecutive starts, with much of that success coming through his iron play.
He also has two straight top-20 finishes at this golf course, recording a T12 in 2024 and a T11 in 2025.
In addition, he has cleared 1.5 strokes gained tee-to-green in 11 of his last 20 rounds. We have current form, course history and strong iron play all pointing in the same direction.
Chris Kirk
The next golfer I want to talk about is Chris Kirk.
His overall strokes-gained numbers may not immediately jump off the page, but the Trend Spotter tells a more encouraging story.
Kirk has cleared 1.5 strokes gained total against the field in 12 of his last 20 rounds. Things are beginning to trend in the right direction, especially after he gained 2.2 strokes total last week at the Rocket Classic.
He makes for a really strong mid-range target this week at a course where his style of game can absolutely compete.
Bomb of the Week
Ricky Castillo
Our Bomb of the Week is Ricky Castillo.
The thing I like about Castillo is that his game has been quietly simmering over the last several weeks.
He has gained strokes total in five consecutive events, although most of those performances were relatively middling—right around field average or slightly better.
Last week, however, we finally saw a bit of a breakout. Castillo gained 1.7 strokes total at the Rocket Classic.
When a golfer has been consistently playing solid golf and then suddenly produces a stronger performance, I believe that can lead to some real momentum. Castillo’s form appears to be building at the right time, and he’ll be our Bomb of the Week.
Make the Cut additions
- Sungjae Im
- Matt Wallace
Top 20 mix ins
- Jackson Koivun
- Tom Kim
- Cameron Young
- Ryan Gerard
*Will be chatting about more plays i like tonight for top 20 parlay vairations in the cord.
Bets * Links
Main 5 to make the cut