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Your Weekly Game Plan
Game Research
Read the matchup. Compare the lines. Build your own angle.
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13 matchupsCurrent week + next week. Games disappear at kickoff.
Understanding the RatingsModel Scores, Hit Rates & Odds
Higher rating = a line the model expects to hit more often. Each bet gets a score out of 100. Player props use the projection and confidence in it; game bets use projected team scores.
A 70/100 is a model score, not a verified 70% win rate. It does not account for the sportsbook price or measure betting value.
Model rating Projection-based scoreHit rate Actual results from the selected seasonOdds Sportsbook price to compare before adding
Sun, Nov 15 · 9:30 AM ETWeek 10
New England PatriotsAway
22.9
Detroit LionsHome
25.0
Model SpreadDET -2.1
Projected Total48.0
QB1 NEPassing Yards, proj 263.3
Proj 263
QB1 DETPassing Yards, proj 276.8
Proj 277
WR1 NEReturning after 2 missed team games; role needs confirmation.Receiving Yards, proj 68.3
Proj 68
RB1 DETRushing Yards, proj 97.8
Proj 98
Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ETWeek 10
Kansas City ChiefsAway
23.6
Atlanta FalconsHome
19.7
Model SpreadKC -3.9
Projected Total43.3
QB1 KCPassing Yards, proj 246.5
Proj 247
QB1 ATLPassing Yards, proj 210.9
Proj 211
RB1 KCRushing Yards, proj 87.7
Proj 88
RB1 ATLRushing Yards, proj 81.6
Proj 82
Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ETWeek 10
Buffalo BillsAway
29.3
New York JetsHome
19.6
Model SpreadBUF -9.7
Projected Total48.9
QB1 BUFPassing Yards, proj 246.7
Proj 247
QB1 NYJPassing Yards, proj 216.7
Proj 217
RB1 BUFSeason high: 31 carries; 70.5% of team carries. Higher raw workload without a sustained gain in share; no rating boost.Rushing Yards, proj 85.7
Proj 86
WR1 NYJReturning after 1 missed team game; role needs confirmation.Receiving Yards, proj 58.7
Proj 59
Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ETWeek 10
Miami DolphinsAway
21.9
Indianapolis ColtsHome
23.1
Model SpreadIND -1.2
Projected Total45.1
QB1 MIAPassing Yards, proj 168.0
Proj 168
QB1 INDPassing Yards, proj 192.1
Proj 192
RB1 MIALatest: 16 carries; 76.2% of team carries. Share increased across two appearances; lineup evidence is insufficient for a rating boost.Rushing Yards, proj 66.8
Proj 67
RB1 INDRushing Yards, proj 61.2
Proj 61
Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ETWeek 10
Minnesota VikingsAway
18.7
Green Bay PackersHome
21.6
Model SpreadGB -2.8
Projected Total40.3
QB1 MINPassing Yards, proj 224.7
Proj 225
QB1 GBPassing Yards, proj 241.6
Proj 242
WR1 MINSeason high: 11 targets; 36.7% of team targets. Share increased across two appearances; lineup evidence is insufficient for a rating boost.Receiving Yards, proj 76.2
Proj 76
WR1 GBLatest: 10 targets; 37.0% of team targets. Share increased across two appearances; lineup evidence is insufficient for a rating boost.Receiving Yards, proj 72.8
Proj 73
Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ETWeek 10
Carolina PanthersAway
23.8
New Orleans SaintsHome
23.4
Model SpreadCAR -0.5
Projected Total47.2
QB1 CARPassing Yards, proj 241.9
Proj 242
QB1 NOPassing Yards, proj 238.4
Proj 238
RB1 CARLatest: 16 carries; 80.0% of team carries. Share increased across two appearances; lineup evidence is insufficient for a rating boost.Rushing Yards, proj 67.8
Proj 68
WR1 NOLatest: 12 targets; 37.5% of team targets. Share increased across two appearances; lineup evidence is insufficient for a rating boost.Receiving Yards, proj 79.1
Proj 79
Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ETWeek 10
Jacksonville JaguarsAway
27.9
Tennessee TitansHome
16.6
Model SpreadJAC -11.3
Projected Total44.5
QB1 JACPassing Yards, proj 254.6
Proj 255
QB1 TENPassing Yards, proj 189.6
Proj 190
WR1 JACReceiving Yards, proj 60.8
Proj 61
WR1 TENReturning after 1 missed team game; role needs confirmation.Receiving Yards, proj 56.8
TE1 LVLatest: 8 targets; 25.0% of team targets. Share increased across two appearances; lineup evidence is insufficient for a rating boost.Receiving Yards, proj 58.1
Proj 58
Sun, Nov 15 · 4:05 PM ETWeek 10
Los Angeles RamsAway
27.7
Arizona CardinalsHome
19.8
Model SpreadLA -7.9
Projected Total47.5
QB1 LAPassing Yards, proj 237.1
Proj 237
QB1 ARIPassing Yards, proj 180.7
Proj 181
RB1 LARushing Yards, proj 62.6
Proj 63
TE1 ARIReceiving Yards, proj 55.5
Proj 56
Sun, Nov 15 · 4:25 PM ETWeek 10
San Francisco 49ersAway
27.3
Dallas CowboysHome
23.7
Model SpreadSF -3.6
Projected Total51.0
QB1 SFPassing Yards, proj 266.6
Proj 267
QB1 DALPassing Yards, proj 269.0
Proj 269
TE1 SFReceiving Yards, proj 60.0
Proj 60
WR1 DALLatest: 16 targets; 47.1% of team targets. Share increased across two appearances; lineup evidence is insufficient for a rating boost.Receiving Yards, proj 96.7
Proj 97
Sun, Nov 15 · 8:20 PM ETWeek 10
Pittsburgh SteelersAway
22.0
Cincinnati BengalsHome
24.9
Model SpreadCIN -2.9
Projected Total46.9
QB1 PITPassing Yards, proj 239.5
Proj 240
QB1 CINPassing Yards, proj 287.0
Proj 287
RB1 PITRushing Yards, proj 62.7
Proj 63
WR1 CINLatest: 12 targets; 42.9% of team targets. Share increased across two appearances (+3 rating points).Receiving Yards, proj 96.1
Proj 96
Mon, Nov 16 · 8:15 PM ETWeek 10
Los Angeles ChargersAway
20.3
Baltimore RavensHome
23.9
Model SpreadBAL -3.5
Projected Total44.2
QB1 LACPassing Yards, proj 207.7
Proj 208
QB1 BAL · projected starterPassing Yards, proj 215.5
Proj 216
WR1 LACReturning after 1 missed team game; role needs confirmation.Receiving Yards, proj 47.0
Proj 47
RB1 BALRushing Yards, proj 78.5
Proj 79
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